Rob makes a valid point: the very dawn of modern policing had as much to do with protecting offenders from mob justice as the population from offenders.
Several police trainers and court certified subject matter experts on use of force have publicly predicted #1, the flight of the best officers from urban centers to rural departments, #2, major staffing shortages in urban centers, #3 the increase in hiring of under-qualified and poorly-trained replacements in an effort to make up the difference, and #4, the rise of private security contractors, employing highly trained personnel at market prices for the corporations and collectives of people (eg. gated communities) that can afford the considerable tab.
The middle class will be on their own to some extent and, as well, the very populations of urban poor that the whole narrative-driven policy shift is ostensibly meant to help will be the communities hardest hit by increased lawlessness. History is not on the side of the geniuses populating many (though not all) city councils.
During the entire “defund the police” wave, with the hundreds of concomitant stories in the media—large and small— you know who I’ve *never* seen interviewed? A vetted, career police trainer or court-certified subject matter expert.
It’s every bit as absurd as running a year’s worth of 24-7 pandemic news cycle without ever interviewing an infectious disease specialist, or epidemiologist, but here we are, nevertheless.